Major Banks Control Bitcoin Market Dynamics: Price Action & Trading Strategies Revealed

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Bitcoin’s market "plumbing" is now owned by these major banks that are controlling the price action

The cryptocurrency landscape in 2025 has undergone a significant transformation compared to its previous state in 2021. The exuberant market rallies, viral discussions on platforms like Reddit, and skyrocketing NFT prices have largely faded into the background. In their place, the prevailing narrative of the crypto market is now shaped by formal financial documentation, custody agreements, and the flow of tokenized Treasury assets. As of December 22, BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) reportedly controlled 776,100 BTC, while JPMorgan introduced a tokenized money market fund initialized with $100 million. Additionally, Broadridge processed an astounding $7.4 trillion in tokenized repo transactions in November, marking a staggering 466% increase from the previous year. The retail frenzy that characterized earlier cycles has been replaced by a more institutional approach to asset custody.

ETFs Become the Primary Access Point

For pension funds, registered investment advisors, and corporate treasury departments, exposure to cryptocurrencies now predominantly occurs through Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) instead of traditional spot exchanges. A recent report from CoinShares highlighted that crypto Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) experienced approximately $46.7 billion in net inflows year-to-date as of December 18. Leading this influx was Bitcoin, which attracted $27.2 billion despite some recent outflows. Data from Bitbo indicates that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs collectively hold 1.3 million BTC, valued at $115.4 billion in assets under management, representing 6.2% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply. Notably, BlackRock’s IBIT stands out with $66 billion in assets under management and 776,100 BTC, capturing over half of the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF market. This fund is tailored for institutional investors, offering regulatory compliance and daily net asset value reporting without the need to manage private keys directly.

Institutional Trading Dominates

The shift toward institutional trading is evident as funds and market-making firms increasingly dominate trading volumes on centralized exchanges. Analysis by Nansen revealed that institutional clients accounted for nearly 80% of total trading volume on centralized exchanges in 2025. Bitget reported that by September, institutional trading represented 80% of its overall volume, a significant increase from 39% in January, averaging around $750 billion in monthly trading. Leading firms such as QCP Capital, Manifold Trading, and Digital Finance Group are at the forefront of this institutional trading surge. Surveys corroborated this trend, with an EY-Coinbase survey indicating that 83% of respondents plan to increase their crypto allocations in 2025, and AIMA’s hedge fund report revealing that 55% of traditional hedge funds now hold digital assets, up from 47% the previous year.

Major Banks Take Over Infrastructure

In 2025, the crucial infrastructure supporting the cryptocurrency market is now primarily managed by large financial institutions rather than crypto-native companies. Galaxy Research identified this year as pivotal, with major banks like BNY Mellon, State Street, JPMorgan, and Citi transitioning from pilot programs to fully operational digital asset services, thus integrating over $12 trillion in assets under management into the crypto realm. JPMorgan launched MONY, a tokenized money market fund with shares represented as tokens on the Ethereum blockchain, available for purchase using USDC. Furthermore, JPMorgan is exploring a dedicated crypto trading service for institutional clients, and Morgan Stanley is gearing up to offer crypto trading via E*Trade in 2026. Collaboratively, Goldman Sachs and BNY Mellon have issued tokens representing shares in traditional money market funds. The enactment of the U.S. GENIUS Act in July established a comprehensive federal framework for dollar-backed stablecoins, mandating full cash and Treasury backing, with rules being developed by the Treasury and FDIC to allow bank subsidiaries to issue stablecoins. The concept of “infrastructure” has evolved significantly from offshore exchanges in 2021 to include FDIC-regulated banks and major custodians in 2025.

Tokenized Assets Gain Traction

The most notable growth area in 2025 is not speculative assets like memecoins but rather the tokenization of Treasuries and private credit. A report from RedStone indicated that the tokenization of real-world assets (RWAs) surged from roughly $5 billion in 2022 to over $24 billion by June 2025, reflecting a remarkable 380% increase. BlackRock’s BUIDL, a tokenized U.S. Treasury fund, surpassed $1.74 billion in assets and leads the nearly $9 billion market for tokenized U.S. Treasuries, according to rwa.xyz. By mid-2025, BUIDL tokens were accepted as collateral on platforms like Crypto.com and Deribit, allowing crypto derivatives traders to leverage tokenized Treasuries for risk management. In a similar vein, Binance partnered with Circle to enable institutional investors to use the USYC money fund as collateral for derivative products. Broadridge’s repo platform processed $7.4 trillion in tokenized repo transactions in November alone, representing a 466% increase from the previous year. As of December 19, the platform had already processed over $6 trillion in repo transactions, according to rwa.xyz. Additionally, LSEG successfully completed its first fully blockchain-powered fundraising for a private fund, and UniCredit introduced its inaugural tokenized structured note. The World Economic Forum dedicated a flagship report to asset tokenization in 2025, heralding it as the “next generation of value exchange.”

Implications for the Future

In light of the considerable institutional advancements, the telltale signs of retail enthusiasm that characterized prior years have dramatically diminished. NFT trading volumes plummeted from nearly $16.5 billion in 2021 to just $2.2 billion in 2025. Google Trends data indicates that while interest in “Bitcoin” remains steady, it falls significantly short of the mania observed in 2020-2021, registering around 24 out of 100 on a five-year scale. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) reported a decrease in the number of UK adults holding cryptocurrencies, although the average investment amounts are higher, suggesting a shift away from casual investors toward more professional participants. The market sentiment appears bullish, yet the atmosphere lacks the previous excitement found on platforms like Reddit and Discord, replaced instead by formal financial documentation and 13F filings. The institutional takeover of 2025 has led to a crypto market that is structurally distinct from any previous cycle: access has transitioned to ETFs, trading dynamics favor institutional investors, and the infrastructure is now under the control of banks and custodians. This evolution has occurred alongside a decline in retail participation, evidenced by a staggering 87% drop in NFT trading volumes, generational lows in Google search interest, and a decrease in smaller investors. The critical question now arises: does this institutional dominance signal a bullish trend or a bearish outlook? While the steady capital from pensions may offer more sustainable support compared to retail speculation, substantial price surges often rely on speculative fervor rather than systematic rebalancing. What 2025 has demonstrated is that the crypto ecosystem can mature without the frenzied enthusiasm of retail investors, yet it is evolving into a more stable, transparent environment, firmly governed by the same institutions that dominate other financial markets. Whether this evolution represents the necessary maturation of the industry or a concerning trend of centralization remains to be seen.